Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 1039.509777 1171.114357 1314.641062 1483.059797 1675.613525 1889.281980 2144.882666
2026-01-18 832.168395 1009.565762 1219.409054 1487.097865 1821.141343 2226.358361 2758.358408
2026-01-25 728.998826 930.467285 1182.533556 1523.450800 1976.133002 2561.622093 3384.387073
2026-02-01 653.941717 869.342733 1151.299121 1551.239524 2110.123704 2872.531092 4007.002211
2026-02-08 592.869626 815.874590 1119.254227 1567.575375 2222.453816 3158.468238 4623.584025
2026-02-15 544.123636 771.998073 1092.773143 1584.460144 2331.896198 3446.358437 5273.527316
2026-02-22 507.634598 740.557222 1078.849052 1615.161077 2461.152810 3773.428031 6020.982700
2026-03-01 459.002411 685.830499 1024.272927 1576.749066 2476.842207 3922.399129 6495.927078
2026-03-08 414.437335 632.760554 966.556425 1526.140297 2465.144940 4022.182354 6895.410125
2026-03-15 375.768139 585.239506 912.792380 1475.629533 2446.459772 4105.234025 7271.568866
2026-03-22 361.665617 575.335551 917.586426 1521.469745 2594.515064 4488.527100 8240.082283
2026-03-29 344.199001 558.284165 908.861577 1542.756538 2700.621250 4807.307052 9127.648123
2026-04-05 325.218445 537.573313 892.904996 1551.010154 2786.235608 5102.315301 10019.687248
2026-04-12 307.248316 517.159684 875.759969 1555.483878 2865.364234 5394.488227 10949.981276
2026-04-19 296.294992 507.935395 877.155210 1593.686220 3012.180427 5834.710354 12256.565724
2026-04-26 284.873468 496.874968 874.147337 1622.893883 3143.801903 6258.906630 13591.558121
2026-05-03 272.685823 483.413584 865.506212 1640.065121 3252.355167 6647.103822 14903.474710
2026-05-10 261.542784 470.981888 857.666953 1657.814326 3363.507985 7053.304014 16320.703794
2026-05-17 253.029936 462.804660 857.148256 1690.089543 3508.665771 7551.406126 18042.453617
2026-05-24 236.594734 438.290881 823.084568 1649.708348 3490.471572 7676.101341 18837.871858
2026-05-31 220.061325 412.468837 784.568616 1596.512955 3438.002869 7714.379145 19412.594152
2026-06-07 204.832779 388.236384 747.556734 1543.429688 3380.483920 7733.985589 19940.756215
2026-06-14 201.150907 386.770030 756.560289 1591.604146 3563.515714 8361.675076 22256.947461